Methodology
The data scientists at Insurify, a site to compare homeowners insurance rates, consulted Housing Market Data from Redfin to determine which states have the most competitive real estate markets in 2020. States were evaluated across three metrics: months of supply (inventory divided by home sales, which indicates how long it would take supply to be bought up if no new homes came on the market), share of homes sold above list price (percent of homes sales with a sale price greater than their latest list price covering all homes with a sale date during a given time period), and number of homes that went under contract within two weeks of their listing date.
Redfin compiles monthly data on these measures across multiple geographic levels in the United States. To calculate how competitive a state’s real estate market has been during the COVID-19 pandemic, the data scientists at Insurify took the average of each of the three metrics from March-September 2020. These scaled values were then used to create a standardized composite score out of 100 for each state — 100 being the most competitive, while 1 being the least. North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, and Wyoming did not receive scores due to the unavailability of those states’ data.
Top Real Estate Markets in the US
1. Washington - Competitive Market Score: 99.16 out of 100
2. Nebraska - Competitive Market Score: 94.04 out of 100
3. Kansas - Competitive Market Score: 83.09 out of 100
4. Oregon - Competitive Market Score: 82.86 out of 100
5. Utah - Competitive Market Score: 81.87 out of 100
6. Minnesota - Competitive Market Score: 80.03 out of 100
7. Indiana - Competitive Market Score: 78.44 out of 100
8. Idaho - Competitive Market Score: 77.90 out of 100
9. Colorado - Competitive Market Score: 75.36 out of 100
10. Virginia - Competitive Market Score: 75.02 out of 100
States with the Most Competitive Real Estate Markets
10. Virginia
Competitive Market Score: 75.02 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 37.34%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 45 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.57
Rounding out the top of the list is Virginia, a state whose real estate market has been 25 percent more competitive than the national average during the pandemic this year. Virginia scored 75.02 on its competitive market score based on the number of homes being sold above list price, and quickly. According to local news source Reston Now, Virginia’s realtors have reportedly described the current market as a “seller’s market” where buyers must be “willing to get aggressive” when it comes to securing a home.
9. Colorado
Competitive Market Score: 75.36 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 34.46%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 55 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.94
The Centennial State has had the ninth most-competitive real estate market in the nation over the course of the pandemic — its competitive market score exceeds the national average by 25 percent. In fact, two Colorado cities, Breckenridge and Sterling, made Insurify’s list of cities with the greatest pandemic real estate booms, indicating that Colorado’s housing market is soaring. The ease of access to skiing and other outdoor activities across the state is ideal to many pandemic-era homebuyers, for whom small neighborhoods and lots of indoor and outdoor space are particularly appealing.
8. Idaho
Competitive Market Score: 77.90 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 29.51%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 59 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.30
It’s getting increasingly more difficult to find that hidden gem of a home on the market in the Gem State, because Idaho’s real estate market is 27 percent more competitive than the national average. Homes in Idaho are flying off the market in the blink of an eye — in fact, Sandpoint, Idaho was one of the cities with the greatest increase in home sales during the pandemic per Insurify’s prior analysis.
7. Indiana
Competitive Market Score: 78.44 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 25.24%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 65 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.23
Indiana’s real estate market is the seventh-most competitive in the nation, scoring 28 percent higher than the national average. There’s no question that homes in the Hoosier State are becoming harder to come by as properties continue to get bought up at exorbitant rates. A prime example of Indiana’s bustling real estate market is in Madison, which came in second in the nation in Insurify’s rankings of cities with the greatest pandemic real estate booms.
6. Minnesota
Competitive Market Score: 80.03 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 41.87%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 48 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.73
Home sales in Minnesota in 2020 are enough to make even the most cynical insurance salesman say, “ah, geez!” Over the course of the pandemic, the real estate market in the Land of 10,000 Lakes has been 29 percent more competitive than the national average. Out of the ten states on the list, Minnesota is home to the highest number of cities with the greatest pandemic real estate booms: Brainerd, Grand Rapids, Marshall and Fergus Falls all made Insurify’s prior rankings, with Fergus Falls snagging the number one spot.
5. Utah
Competitive Market Score: 81.87 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 40.67%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 50 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.50
The real estate market in the Beehive State has certainly been a-buzz this past year. Utah scored 31 percent higher than the national average on its competitive market score, and it’s easy to see why. Utah’s bountiful natural landscapes and the ski-town suburban communities that have popped up around them are attractive to home-seekers in 2020. The Salt Lake Tribune reported that during the pandemic, an increasing volume of buyers from out of state have been flocking to Utah to invest in new property and settle down. From single-family suburban homes to luxury mountain properties, the high demand for real estate in Utah is unprecedented.
4. Oregon
Competitive Market Score: 82.86 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 38.87%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 56 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.71
Real estate brokers in the Beaver State have been about as busy as their state’s namesake, as Oregon has had the fourth-most competitive housing market in the nation throughout the pandemic. Oregonian real estate has been 32 percent more competitive than the nationwide mean, with The Dalles, Oregon earning a spot within the top twenty cities with the greatest real estate booms during COVID-19. Oregon’s offerings of abundant nature and rural properties have caused real estate in those locales to skyrocket, as more buyers are in the market to escape the city and settle somewhere more scenic.
3. Kansas
Competitive Market Score: 83.09 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 27.16%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 55 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 0*
It seems like more and more potential buyers agree with Dorothy: there’s no place like home, especially when that home is in Kansas. The Sunflower State is home to the third-most competitive housing market during the pandemic. Real estate in Kansas has been 32 percent more competitive than the national average throughout 2020. The surging demand — and home prices — in Kansas in response to stay-at-home orders and the reduced appeal of large cities have caused homes to “fly off the market,” according to reporting from the Kansas City Star.
2. Nebraska
Competitive Market Score: 94.04 out of 100
Percent of homes sold above list price: 38.80%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 68 homes
Average months of supply in 2020: 1.13
This Midwestern state has seen an unprecedented number of wannabe Cornhuskers entering its real estate market. Nebraska has had the second-most competitive housing market in the United States since the onset of the pandemic; real estate in Nebraska is 40 percent more competitive than the national average. One particularly pressing aspect contributing to the state’s ultra-competitive real estate market is its low supply of available properties, which dips below the already-low national average by 54 percent.
1. Washington
Competitive Market Score: 99.16 out of 100
Percent of home sold above list price: 44.74%
Average number of homes per month sold within 2 weeks of listing date: 68 homes