What happens if the NFIP expires
Existing policies would continue to pay out if the NFIP expires, but new policies and renewals would cease. Standard home insurance doesn’t pay for flood damage, but some private insurers offer separate coverage.
Finding comparably priced private coverage in high-risk states like Florida or Louisiana would “certainly be a challenge,” said Mallory Mooney, director of sales and service at Insurify.
In 2024, Florida home insurance rates climbed to a staggering annual average of $14,140, according to Insurify data. Increasingly severe and frequent weather events fueled the state’s insurance crisis.
About 1.7 million, or more than one-third, of NFIP policyholders live in Florida. The average risk-based cost of NFIP flood insurance in Florida is $1,363 annually, but the program subsidizes some policyholders.
Representatives from Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, and Texas co-signed the bill to extend NFIP funding. Home insurance rates have already increased significantly in these states over the past year, influenced by rising climate risk.
| Average Annual Risk-Based Cost of NFIP Coverage | Average Annual Cost of Home Insurance (2024) | Projected Increase in Home Insurance Costs (2025) |
|---|
| New Jersey | $1,943 | $1,674 | 6% |
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| Mississippi | $1,622 | $4,809 | 8% |
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| Louisiana | $1,470 | $10,964 | 27% |
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| Florida | $1,363 | $14,140 | 9% |
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| Texas | $1,188 | $6,005 | 9% |
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Without NFIP subsidies, homeowners in flood hazard areas may be unable to afford premiums or find private insurers willing to cover their property.
Mortgage lenders generally require flood insurance for high-risk properties.
Losing NFIP coverage could further hamper the housing market, which saw its largest month-to-month decline in sales since 2022 last March. NFIP policies are essential to facilitating 41,300 home sale closings per month, according to an estimate from the National Association of REALTORS (NAR).